Automated Prediction of CMEs Using Machine Learning of CME – Flare Associations     

R. Qahwaji  T. Colak  M. Al-Omari  S. Ipson 《Solar physics》2008,248(2):471-483

Machine-learning algorithms are applied to explore the relation between significant flares and their associated CMEs. The NGDC flares catalogue and the SOHO/LASCO CME catalogue are processed to associate X and M-class flares with CMEs based on timing information. Automated systems are created to process and associate years of flare and CME data, which are later arranged in numerical-training vectors and fed to machine-learning algorithms to extract the embedded knowledge and provide learning rules that can be used for the automated prediction of CMEs. Properties representing the intensity, flare duration, and duration of decline and duration of growth are extracted from all the associated (A) and not-associated (NA) flares and converted to a numerical format that is suitable for machine-learning use. The machine-learning algorithms Cascade Correlation Neural Networks (CCNN) and Support Vector Machines (SVM) are used and compared in our work. The machine-learning systems predict, from the input of a flare’s properties, if the flare is likely to initiate a CME. Intensive experiments using Jack-knife techniques are carried out and the relationships between flare properties and CMEs are investigated using the results. The predictive performance of SVM and CCNN is analysed and recommendations for enhancing the performance are provided.  相似文献   

The NASA Lunar Impact Monitoring Program     

Robert M. Suggs  William J. Cooke  Ronnie J. Suggs  Wesley R. Swift  Nicholas Hollon 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2008,102(1-4):293-298

NASA’s Meteoroid Environment Office has implemented a program to monitor the Moon for meteoroid impacts from the Marshall Space Flight Center. Using off-the-shelf telescopes and video equipment, the Moon is monitored for as many as 10 nights per month, depending on weather. Custom software automatically detects flashes which are confirmed by a second telescope, photometrically calibrated using background stars, and published on a website for correlation with other observations. Hypervelocity impact tests at the Ames Vertical Gun Range facility have begun to determine the luminous efficiency and ejecta characteristics. The purpose of this research is to define the impact ejecta environment for use by lunar spacecraft designers of the Constellation manned lunar program. The observational techniques and preliminary results will be discussed. The U.S. Government's right to retain a non-exclusive, royalty-free license in and to any copyright is acknowledged.  相似文献   

Comparison of Meteoroid Flux Models for Near Earth Space     

Gerhard Drolshagen  Valeri Dikarev  Markus Landgraf  Holger Krag  Wim Kuiper 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2008,102(1-4):191-197

Over the last decade several new models for the sporadic interplanetary meteoroid flux have been developed. These include the Divine-Staubach and the Dikarev model. They typically cover mass ranges from 10⁻¹⁸ g to 1 g and are applicable for model specific Sun distance ranges between 0.1 AU and 20 AU Near 1 AU averaged fluxes (over direction and velocities) for all these models are tuned to the well established interplanetary model by Grün et al. However, in many respects these models differ considerably. Examples are the velocity and directional distributions and the assumed meteoroid sources. In this paper flux predictions by the various models to Earth orbiting spacecraft are compared. Main differences are presented and analysed. The persisting differences even for near Earth space can be seen as surprising in view of the numerous ground based (optical and radar) and in situ (captured Inter Stellar Dust Particles, in situ detectors and analysis of retrieved hardware) measurements and simulations.  相似文献   

Comparative Planetary Space Physics     

Wei Yong  Rong Zhaojin  Zhong Jun  Chai Lihui  Yue Xin&#x  an  Liu Libo  Yu Sheng  Zhu Rixiang  Wan Weixing 《地球科学进展》2017,32(1):15-20

It has been 60 years since the space physics as new branch of geophysics started to grow in 1957 when the space age was opened by a small satellite called sputnik. The knowledge of Earth and planetary space has been significantly extended and deepened, but the questions we are facing today are more challenging. A consensus reached is that we have to regard the Earth (planet) as an integrated system including all spheres from the inner core to the magnetosphere, and we should try to investigate some questions standing on the ground of interdisciplinary study, especially those questions related to Earth’s (planetary) evolution. Space environment as the outer part of a planetary system, commonly exists in all planets but also exhibits strong diversity. Here, we introduce the short history of basic ideas and methods of comparative study, the advantages on understanding of some issues of global scale, and the prospect from comparative perspective.  相似文献   

垂直应变的研究意义及模型分析          下载免费PDF全文

杨江  杜为民 《地震工程学报》2012,34(4):355-358

近20多年来国内垂直应变领域一直无人涉及.垂直应变量的获取可将应变固体潮从平面应变观测提升到三维空间应变观测.本文说明了垂直应变观测的必要性,建立了垂直应变观测系统的原始模型,并提出了研制的难点和理论上的解决方法.  相似文献   

探讨利用SCIAMACHY数据反演温室气体二氧化碳   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

廖秀英  孙九林  吕宁  王卷乐  程辉 《地球物理学进展》2012,27(3):837-845

自工业革命以来CO2已经成为引起全球气候变暖的一种最主要的人为温室气体,由此引起的全球气候变化是当今社会经济可持续发展面临的最严峻挑战之一.为了更好的研究二氧化碳在时间与空间尺度上的格局及变化,综合分析CO2与太阳辐射、地面反照率、气溶胶等要素之间的关系,本文回顾了以往利用新型卫星传感器获取多源遥感数据的特点,分析了多种反演计算方法的优缺点,并结合地面实测数据进行对比分析的方法与理论,全面阐述国际上有关CO2柱浓度反演的思想.作者认为目前在地面观测站较少的情况下,针对先进的SCIAMACHY传感器数据利用DOAS相关算法及BESD算法进行CO2柱体浓度反演的数据连续,技术成熟,并由此提出了下一步工作中应解决的3个问题.  相似文献   

“智慧地图”体系构建研究     

刘锐  谢涛  孙世友  姚新  胡秋红 《地理信息世界》2013,(2)

随着“智慧地球”“智慧城市”的发展,以及人类科学技术和对自然认识水平的提高,传统的空间信息显示与简单的数据存储、管理已不能满足我们对空间认知的需求,空间信息获取的广泛性、时效性、便捷性以及地图服务的智能化与人性化已经成为当前地图行业需求热点.同时,物联网、云计算等新兴信息技术的迅速发展所引爆的第三代信息革命为现代地图学的发展带来了新的契机.本文以地图学历史发展为主线,系统梳理“地图”的相关概念、内涵及技术理论,并结合当前经济、社会及技术背景,重新整合地图的发展需求、内涵及技术体系,提出一种全新的“智慧地图”概念,为现代地图学及数字地图技术的发展提供一种新的视角与理论方法框架.  相似文献   

基于SLEUTH模型的城市空间增长模拟研究--以焦作市为例     

关中美  王雨村  王寅生 《地理信息世界》2013,(4)

利用1988,1992,2001,2008年4个时相的遥感影像和GIS技术获取历史数据,采用SLEUTH模型,对焦作市未来城市空间演变进行研究。结果显示：SLEUTH模型重现了焦作市1988~2008年城市空间演变形态,模拟结果与实际情况比较吻合,充分证明SLEUTH模型具有普适性,通过校正能较好地描述城市增长的自然规律;预测模拟了2009~2020年城市空间增长,城市扩展趋势是新扩展中心出现边缘式扩展,向周围地区蔓延,在交通轴线连接下,形成组团式布局。研究结果为研究区城市发展及政府制定规划提供了科学决策依据。  相似文献   

新04号泉溶解气氢气异常特征分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李新勇  朱成英  李艳萍  聂晓红 《内陆地震》2014,28(3):286-290

选取乌鲁木齐周围100 km范围内MS4地震和300 km范围内MS≥5地震,分析新04号泉氢气资料。结果显示,新04号泉对乌鲁木齐周围100 km范围内4级地震无明显震兆异常,对300 km范围内MS≥5地震对应情况较好,对应率为80%。  相似文献   

永安地震台数字地震观测系统常见故障的分析及排除     

全建军  张凯  刘水莲  刘礼诚  陈美梅  郑志泓 《华南地震》2014,(4):78-83

论述了永安地震台数字地震观测系统的组成单元及各单元的作用与功能,总结、分析日常观测中常见的各类故障,并详细分析仪器运行过程中典型故障的产生原因及排除方法,可为其他相关地震台站提供借鉴。  相似文献